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An Economic Hurricane Is Coming

Derek Wolfe

Updated: August 16, 2022

economic hurricane
Editor’s Note:

EDITOR'S NOTE: JPMorgan Chase’s CEO Jamie Dimon agrees that the overall economy and the businesses and consumers that comprise it are generally in good shape. But that’s here and now; a snapshot of a fleeting situation that soon may be disintegrating. As Dimon suggests, forecasting is a different matter altogether, requiring a more comprehensive and prognostic way of connecting the dots. While many investors seem myopically fixated on the current recession and inflation debates, most, according to Dimon, are missing the storm clouds on the horizon. He breaks down his outlook in percentage terms, surveying all possible outcomes based on the bank’s analysis of current data. Coming in at a 20% to 30% chance is the possibility of an economic hurricane; what Dimon calls “something else” that exceeds a hard recession. In short, there’s a strong chance that something worse than a recession is about to hit the US economy.

Wall Street bank issues dire warning for the US economy.

The boss of Wall Street banking giant JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, has warned investors of the likelihood of a downturn in the US economy, saying that “something worse” than a hard recession could be on the horizon.

According to a Yahoo Finance report on Saturday, Dimon noted that the economy is “strong” while businesses’ and consumers’ balance sheets “are in good shape.” The banker, however, pointed out that there are “storm clouds” on the horizon, including rising oil prices and higher interest rates.

“When you forecast, you have to think differently. What is out there? There are storm clouds. Rates, quantitative tightening (QT), oil, Ukraine, war, China,” Dimon said. “If I had to put odds: soft landing 10%. Harder landing, mild recession, 20%, 30%. Harder recession, 20%, 30%. And maybe something worse at 20% to 30%. It is a bad mistake to say ‘here is my single point forecast,’” he clarified.

Last month, Dimon warned that geopolitical tension, soaring inflation, waning consumer confidence, and uncertainty about how much the Federal Reserve’s policy rate will be increased, combined with the conflict in Ukraine, would likely have a negative impact on the global economy sometime in the future.

Earlier in June, the head of the biggest US bank said to brace for an economic “hurricane.”

Originally published on RT.

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