EDITOR NOTE: Supply chain disruptions, rising commodity prices, component production shortages, and high demand have all contributed to a spike in home and car prices. Total household debt has risen by $85 billion in the first quarter of 2021, bringing total debt to a whopping $14.6 TRILLION. Credit card balances may have fallen substantially, a good sign for your characteristically debt-enslaved Americans, but we fear this is just the start. You’ve noticed from your trip to the grocery store that almost everything, from fuel to produce to meat, is more expensive now. The Fed says this will be transitory, and we’re supposed to trust the central bank because it has everything all under control. But remember that the Fed, a supposedly “private” bank, has, like every bank, its shareholders or stakeholders to appease. The American public is its “customers.” And we know how that kind of relationship goes. The dramatic increase to the money supply we saw in 2020 benefits a few at the expense of many. And how deep will those “expenses” reach into your purchasing power, and your pocketbook? The one way to counter this wealth transfer is to take the “higher ground” on money itself, converting your declining cash into non-CUSIP gold and silver.
Consumer debt edged higher during the first three months of 2021, due primarily to a jump in mortgages and auto loans, the Federal Reserve reported Wednesday.
Total household debt balances rose by $85 billion in the first quarter, a 0.6% increase that brought the total level to $14.64 trillion.
Fueled by low rates and a red-hot housing market, mortgage debt swelled in the period by $117 billion, or about 1.2%, to $10.16 trillion, according to the New York Fed’s quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. Auto loans increased by $8 billion, to $1.38 trillion, while student debt balances rose by $29 billion to $1.58 trillion, even though many loans are in forbearance granted during the coronavirus pandemic.
One surprise in the report came from a substantial decline in credit card balances. That level fell by $49 billion in the quarter, the second-largest drop since the New York Fed began tracking it in 1999.
Credit card balances now total $770 billion, or $157 billion lower than they were at the end of 2019, “consistent with both paydowns among borrowers and reduced consumption opportunities,” the report stated.
New York Fed researchers said the latest round of declines also was helped substantially by another round of government stimulus checks, this time for $1,400. While retail sales have jumped higher, so has the savings rate as well as the share put toward reducing debt.
The report also noted a general upswing in credit quality among borrowers.
The median credit scare for newly originated mortgages increased to 788 while the score for new auto loans rose to 720. Just 15% of the newly originated auto loans were to subprime borrowers with scores lower than 620.
Delinquency rates also continued to drop, edging lower to 3.1% of all debt, a 1.5 percentage point decline from the same period in 2020.
Originally posted on CNBC