EDITOR NOTE: There are plenty of economic indicators that point to an economic collapse, but there are real, tangible, everyday examples as well. Uber and Lyft rideshare prices are exploding month-over-month due to the companies’ inability to find drivers to keep up with demand because unemployment benefits are incentivizing workers to stay home. Worker shortages are also crippling the supply chain, evidenced by the fact McDonald’s and other quick-service restaurant chains are running out of to-go bags. Even in light of these clearly identifiable examples, the Fed is refusing to hike rates to halt inflation. This slow burn of economic downfall will become a wildfire if the U.S. dollar loses its place as the international reserve currency when the IMF revalues its global SDR basket on September 30.
Record Rideshare Prices
The WSJ reports Uber, Lyft Prices at Records Even as Drivers Return
The average Uber and Lyft fare in the U.S. rose month-to-month from February through July, touching new highs every time, according to data from Rakuten Intelligence, a market-research firm that based its analysis on e-receipts from more than one million consumers. While the average fare in July edged up slightly from June, it meant consumers paid over 50% more for a ride last month compared with January 2020, before the pandemic.
The sky-high prices, which the companies say are driven by the continuing labor shortage, come despite a recent influx of drivers. Uber said Wednesday that 30% more drivers signed up in July compared with the month before. Lyft said Tuesday that 50% more drivers signed up in the three-month period that ended in June compared with the preceding three months.
“The data is clear: Driver supply has not kept pace with the surge of demand from riders, throwing the ride-share market out of balance,” a Lyft spokeswoman said, adding that the company would continue to invest in driver incentives to ease the shortage.
In New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles—Uber’s top domestic markets—“demand continues to outplay supply, and prices and wait times remain above our comfort levels,” Chief Executive Dara Khosrowshahi told analysts Wednesday after the company reported quarterly results.
Shortage of Bags at McDonalds
In another sign of the times Bags Run Tight at McDonalds.
McDonald’s Corp. is facing tight supplies of some of its paper to-go bags, the latest supply challenge affecting U.S. restaurants. The chain recently told restaurant owners that they needed to limit orders of bags from suppliers as usage is running ahead of already high numbers last year, McDonald’s said in an internal message.
Restaurant sales have risen from the depths of the pandemic, but operations are far from normal for even big chains like McDonald’s. Supply-chain hurdles remain, labor continues to be scarce and costs are rising. McDonald’s said prices at its U.S. restaurants are up around 6% from the same time last year as it handles labor and food cost pressures.
To-go orders accounted for nearly 81% of restaurant business in the 12 months ended June 30, up 18% compared with the prior year’s period, according to consumer-research firm the NPD Group. Carryout, drive-through and delivery orders were all up, NPD data shows.
Mexican quick-service chain Del Taco Restaurants Inc. told investors late last month that it was trying to manage packaging shortages, which executives said stemmed from U.S. suppliers’ short-handed production plants.
Nearly every aspect of American life is getting more expensive, especially rent.
Democrats want more stimulus and the Fed clings to monetary policies clearly too loose.
For discussion please see A "Welcome" Rise in Inflation Comes Sooner than Expected, Now Rate Hikes?
Fed's Preferred Measure of Inflation is Only 4.0%, Anyone Believe That?
For discussion of the above charts please see Fed's Preferred Measure of Inflation is Only 4.0%, Anyone Believe That?
What's Going On?
- The Fed does not want to hike, so it won't.
- Meanwhile, the Fed mostly pulls numbers out of its rear orifice to justify the policies it wants to take.
- By the time the Fed gets around to hiking, an economic bust is overdue.
A shortage of bags is just the latest sign of many.
Original post from Mish Talk