EDITOR NOTE: Looking past the economic damages of the COVID lockdown, we’re facing another viral surge, plunging bond yields, secondary effects of a second stimulus package, and heightened geopolitical tensions with China. More uncertainty, in this case, meant higher gold prices. Is there a reason to think that the global uncertainty we find ourselves in--and that also happens to be gold’s largest driver--is going away anytime soon?
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global equity benchmarks edged higher and gold soared to an all-time high on Monday as investors weighed expectations for another U.S. stimulus package with concerns that rising tensions between the United States and China will the slow the recovery of the global economy from the coronavirus pandemic.
Gold made a 1.6% jump to surpass its 2011 highs and put $2,000 per ounce in sight. Silver climbed 7.5%, to take its July streak past 30%, which would be its best month on record.
China took over the premises of the U.S. consulate in the southwestern city of Chengdu on Monday, after ordering that the facility be vacated in retaliation for China’s ouster last week from its consulate in Houston.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Washington and its allies must use “more creative and assertive ways” to press the Chinese Communist Party to change its ways.
“U.S. President (Donald) Trump used to say China’s President Xi Jinping is a great leader. But now Pompeo’s wording is becoming so aggressive that markets are starting to worry about further escalation,” said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.25% following mixed trading in Asia and broad declines in Europe after the United Kingdom imposed a quarantine on travelers returning from Spain, which has seen an increase in coronavirus cases.
Graphic: Global assets - here
Graphic: Global currencies vs. dollar - here
Graphic: Emerging markets - here
Graphic: MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap - here
In morning trading on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.87 points, or 0.01%, to 26,466.02, the S&P 500 gained 0.58 points, or 0.02%, to 3,216.21 and the Nasdaq Composite added 53.71 points, or 0.52%, to 10,416.89
Hopes for a quick U.S. economic recovery are fading as coronavirus infections showed few signs of slowing.
That means the economy could suffer without fresh support from the government, with some earlier steps such as enhanced jobless benefits due to expire this month.
Investors hope U.S. Congress will agree on a deal before its summer recess. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said the package will contain extended unemployment benefits with 70% “wage replacement.”
Concerns about the U.S. economic outlook have also started to weigh on the dollar. The dollar index dropped 0.5% to its lowest in nearly two years.
The euro gained 0.5% to a 22-month high of $1.1725, continuing a winning streak since last week’s agreement on a 750 billion-euro post-pandemic EU recovery fund.
Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 4/32 in price to yield 0.5774%, from 0.589% late on Friday.
“If you look at the fact that the dollar’s been higher yielding than many other currencies for quite a while, and with some of the benefits of that being eroded ... and also the continued demand for a safe haven, it all plays into gold’s strengthening,” said Shafali Sachdev, the head of FX Asia at BNP Paribas Wealth Management in Singapore.
“And at this point there doesn’t seem any obvious factor that could help the trend to draw to a close.”
Oil prices were capped on worries about the worsening Sino-U.S. relations and both new and returning waves of the coronavirus around the world, which has now infected more than 16 million people and killed nearly 650,000.
U.S. crude recently fell 0.85% to $40.94 per barrel and Brent was at $43.08, down 0.6% on the day.
Originally posted on Reuters