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Biden Presidency Could Be A Big Win For Fintech and New IMF SDR Basket

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EDITOR NOTE: Popular opinion has it that a Biden presidency would be bearish for the energy and financial sectors. Yes, and no. Legacy energy companies might not get much of a boost from a Biden administration (we really don’t know), but “alternative energy” might benefit immensely. A similar thing can be said of finance. Traditional banking might not benefit much, but the “fintech” industry just might. As the pandemic “unbanks” many American households, we might see a rise in postal banking and public banking, among other fintech alternatives, potentially ushering in a new  “golden era” in fintech. But the dawning of this era brings an equivalent darkness. Fintech is driving the upcoming calibrations in the IMF’s SDR’s (which as of yet, goes unannounced). With SDRs on the rise, the dollar--already tumbling in value--will continue to lose its position on the global stage. Perhaps the real “golden” era is much more literal; and it will have nothing to do with neither legacy finance nor legacy tech, but rather “legacy money.”

As the impact of the coronavirus pandemic threatens to increase the number of unbanked households in the country, the push for alternative banking solutions could get a boost under a Joe Biden presidency — and that's a good sign for fintechs, some experts said. 

"I do think we're going to see pressures from the Biden side for allowing more alternatives to traditional banking," David Schultz, a Hamline University political science professor, said, in the event the former vice president wins the election. "I think that people are going to be looking for post-COVID-19 alternatives for banking and for new types of institutions to make it more accessible, especially in their communities."

The Democratic Party has long backed initiatives focused on financial inclusion, including calls to reestablish postal banking and create public banks. Financial inclusion is also a mission often touted by most fintechs. 

With that in mind, a potential Biden presidency could usher in fintech's "golden years," Kara Ward, a Holland & Knight partner, said last month during a webinar

"I do think fintechs will probably have a couple of golden years here under Biden, as there's an effort to democratize and make more services available to folks who have been underserved in the past," she said.

While the number of banked households in the U.S. has trended upward in recent years, the impact of the coronavirus could likely reverse that trend, according to a recent report by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC). 

"[F]indings from multiple years of the survey suggest that the unbanked rate is likely to rise as the unemployment rate rose from its level prior to the pandemic," FDIC Chairman Jelena McWilliams said in a speech last month.

Fintechs such as challenger banks and peer-to-peer payments companies often tout their nontraditional methods of providing financial services that often come with fee-free accounts and alternative methods for checking credit.

In some cases, the pandemic has helped fintechs showcase their strengths. Challenger banks Chime and Current found ways to get customers their stimulus checks early, and fintech lenders such as Kabbage, Funding Circle and BlueVine successfully lobbied to participate in the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) alongside traditional banks. 

PayPal and Square were also approved to become direct lenders for PPP and were allowed to disburse stimulus checks. 

The government's coronavirus relief package relied largely on banks to distribute fiscal aid, and some have come under scrutiny for their handling of PPP.

JPMorgan Chase, Citi and U.S. Bank reportedly used a two-tiered system to prioritize the applications of their wealthiest clients, according to The New York Times

Originally posted on Banking Dive

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